We’re back for another edition of Terry Tam’s Bad Beats where I give you my fight picks on the most recent UFC event. UFC 263 is upon us with a card full of sick fights. This is one of the best cards of the year so far. How can we not love the return of Nate Diaz, Brandon Moreno becoming a huge star in Mexico and The Last Stylebender continuing his dominance at the Middleweight division.
Nate Diaz (21-12) vs Leon Edwards (18-3)
One of the most anticipated fights of the year. Edwards finally gets a big fight vs Belal Muhammad and in a freak eye poke, Leon’s fight is stopped in his favor. Now he gets to fight against the Stockton, California native Nate Diaz. Nate hasn’t fought since his referee stoppage loss to Jorge Masvidal for the BMF belt. This fight has all the makings to be a brawl. It’s a five round fight so it offers the possibility of a KO. By who, you say ? Looking for a 5th rough finish.
Over 4.5 rounds +105 add Nate Diaz outright +420 (nice)
This is a rematch their Majority Draw decision in December when both fighters took the fight on three weeks notice… during a pandemic. Moreno seems to have lit a spark under Figgy’s cheeks. The UFC Flyweight champ is not happy that Moreno didn’t seem to be threatened or impressed with the power and striking abilities of the champ. Moreno’s superb ground skills and supreme boxing makes me think that he can pull off a TKO win by punches. But then we remember all the times that Figgy had shut the lights off his opponents. Figgy does have tendencies to gas out and lose his power in the later rounds.
Brandon Moreno (18-5-2) vs Deiveson Figuereido (20-1-1)
Moreno by KO +860
Israel Adesanya (20-1) vs Marvin Vettori (17-4-1)
This fight reminds me of when Yushin Okami faced off vs then Middleweight champ Anderson Silva. A lot of people believed the hype on Okami, as did I. Vettori is fighting for the title because Adesanya has cleared out the division and is waiting on Robert Whitaker. It’s an easy fight Adesanya, even though the last time these two met it ended in a split decision in Adesanya’s favour. Adesanya has been working on his BJJ recently training with World Champ Andre Galvao and graduating to purple belt. Vettori is a blackbelt but we know that Adesanya loves to try new things. He’s hinted at the ground game a little bit and there’s never a reason to doubt the champ.
Adesanya by Submission +2900 (for fun, small unit) or Adesanya win in Round 2 +620
Other fights to look out for:
Paul Craig vs Jamahal Hill – How Craig is that much of an underdog is bananas. I’m taking Craig all day outright +235.
Demian Maia vs Belal Muhammad – Muhammad by KO +230
Lauren Murphy vs Joanne Calderwood – Calderwood by submission +1000 or decision +105
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